A significantly higher percentage of Black men plan to vote for former president Donald Trump this November than did so in 2020, a recent Wall Street Journal poll of seven swing states found.
A majority of Black men surveyed — 57 percent — still plan to vote for president Joe Biden on Election Day, but 30 percent of respondents said they will either definitely or probably choose Trump. While the Journal did not conduct the same poll in 2020, only twelve percent of Black men nationwide pulled the lever for the former president in the last election.
The Journal also found that 11 percent of Black female respondents plan to vote for Trump in 2024, as opposed to the 6 percent who did so in 2020. Breaking the data down by education level, 18 percent of college-educated Black respondents — 8 percent of whom voted for Trump in 2020 — plan to pick the former president in November, while 21 percent of non-college-educated Black respondents said the same. The latter group voted for Trump at a 9 percent clip in the last presidential election.
Covering the seven states projected to be the most competitive in November — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — the Journal‘s data show Trump with a lead in all but Wisconsin, where he and Biden both sit at 46 percent. Fifty-four percent of respondents said they trust Trump more than Biden on the economy, compared with 34 percent for Biden. On immigration, 52 percent said they think Trump is best able to handle the issue, while only 32 percent believe Biden is a better choice to deal with the border. 48 percent of those surveyed said they believe Trump is more mentally and physically capable of serving as president than Biden. Just 28 percent told pollsters Biden’s mental and physical ability are stronger than Trump’s.
One area where Biden leads Trump, though, is abortion. Forty-five percent of respondents said they prefer Biden on the issue to 33 percent for Trump.
The respondents who describe themselves as undecided report unfavorable views of both candidates, with 67 percent saying they disapprove of Biden and 61 percent saying they dislike Trump.