Politics & Policy

Democrats Lose Ground with Millennials

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer on Capitol Hill, November 2017. (Joshua Roberts/Reuters)

Millennials have backed away from Democratic candidates since 2016, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll.

In the last two years, Millennial support for Democrats over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot dropped around 9 percentage points, to 46 percent. The demographic’s support for Republicans has remained steady at about 28 percent. (The remaining 26 percent comprised respondents who said they don’t know or support a third party.)

Even though close to two out of three millennial voters say they do not care for President Trump, that does not necessarily help Democrats, according to the poll, which surveyed 65,000 people including 16,000 registered voters ages 18 to 34.

Some Millennials who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 are now looking at supporting GOP congressional candidates, the poll found. And the same young voters are almost evenly split on the question of which party takes better care of the economy, with 34 percent favoring Democrats compared to 32 percent favoring Republicans — a twelve-point jump for the GOP since 2016.

White Millennials have turned toward Republicans the most. Support for both parties among young white voters is equal at 39 percent. This marks a big shift from 2016, when white Millennials supported Democrats over Republicans 47 percent to 33 percent.

The polls comparing millennial support were conducted in the first three months of this year and 2016.

Democrats need to win 23 seats to regain control of the House in the midterm elections this November, and while some anticipate a blue wave, the recent data does not bode well for the party given that millennial voters are a demographic they have relied on. The Senate may be easier for Democrats to win since Republicans hold it now by only a razor-thin margin.

The party has done better than expected so far in several special elections, including in Alabama, Georgia, and a typically deep-red Pennsylvania district that President Trump won by almost 20 percentage points.

Hillary Clinton won the millennial vote over Trump in 2016, 55 percent to 37 percent.

NOW WATCH: ‘Are Democrats Losing Millennial Support?’

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