The percentage of voters who believe that President Trump should receive a second term is nearly identical to the percentage of voters who thought the same about former presidents Obama and Clinton at the same time in their presidencies, according to Gallup.
37 percent of registered voters believe Trump should be reelected, per Gallup’s April 9–15 poll. 37 percent believed President Obama should be reelected and 38 percent thought President Clinton should be reelected at the same point in their first terms.
Trump’s job-approval rating currently sits at 39 percent, according to Gallup. Clinton and Obama enjoyed slightly higher approval ratings in the springs of their respective second years in office, but by the time of those years’ November midterms, their numbers had sunk to where Trump’s are now.
The reelection polling mostly fell along party lines, with 78 percent of Republicans and just 6 percent of Democrats saying Trump deserves a second term.
The party of the sitting president generally loses seats in the midterm elections during his first term. Democrats took it on the chin in the first midterms of the Clinton and Obama presidencies, losing dozens of congressional seats and handing the House majority to Republicans. Heading into the 2018 congressional elections, Republicans are anxious about a possible blue wave that could flip districts Trump won in 2016 by wide margins.
Democrats need a net gain of 24 seats to retake the House and a net gain of two to retake the Senate.