POLL: Democrats Hold 14 Point Lead On Generic House Ballot

Voters at a polling place in Westminster, Colo., in 2014. (Rick Wilking/Reuters)

Democrats hold a substantial 14 point lead over their Republican opponents on the generic House ballot, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday.

The poll, released eight weeks before the midterm elections, found that 52 percent of voters support Democratic candidates while just 38 percent claim to back Republicans. Democrats have increased their advantage from just nine percentage points on an identical poll released in August.

Democrats also enjoy a commanding 15 point lead over Republicans among independent voters and a widening 20 percentage point margin over Republicans among women voters (55 percent – 35 percent).

White voters are almost equally divided (48 percent Republican – 45 percent Democrat), while Democrats hold a massive 84 percent to 7 percent lead among black voters, and a 64 percent to 22 percent lead among Hispanics.

The findings lend credence to the widely discussed “blue wave” theory, which holds that Democrats and Independents, energized by opposition to president Trump, will overwhelmingly vote blue in order to secure a Democratic majority to serve as a check on the president.

“By a 14-point margin, Americans would rather vote for the Democratic candidate in their local race for the U.S. House of Representatives. Could the ‘blue wave’ become a tsunami?” asked Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “There are a lot of factors, and eight weeks of campaigning, that make up the answer to that question.”

While opposition to the Trump administration may be motivating Independents and centrist Democrats who may otherwise vote across party lines, the majority (56 percent) of respondents are not seeking to flip the House in order to impeach Trump.

“American voters don’t want Congress to tell President Donald Trump, ‘You’re fired!’ by serving him with articles of impeachment,” Malloy added.

Trump’s incessant criticism of the news media has begun to take hold in the minds of Republican voters. According to the poll, 72 percent of Republican voters trust Trump more than the media and 21 percent of all respondents agreed with Trump’s characterization of the media as “the enemy of the people.”

The poll was based on interviews with 1,038 voters nationwide conducted from September 6 to September 9.

NOW WATCH: ‘GOP Faces Deadline Crunch As Midterms Come Near’

Jack Crowe — Jack Crowe is a news writer at National Review Online.

Most Popular

Law & the Courts

It’s a Set-up

In my column yesterday, I contended that the unverifiable sexual-assault allegation against Judge Brett Kavanaugh bore “all the hallmarks of a set-up.” I based that assessment on the patently flimsy evidence, coupled with Senate Democrats’ duplicitous abuse of the confirmation-hearing process. To repeat ... Read More
Law & the Courts

Censure Dianne Feinstein

Regardless of the fate of Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination, the Senate should censure the ranking Democratic member of the Judiciary Committee, Dianne Feinstein. Her deception and maneuvering, condemned across the political spectrum, seriously interfered with the Senate’s performance of its constitutional duty to ... Read More

Are We on the Verge of Civil War?

Americans keep dividing into two hostile camps. It seems the country is back to 1860 on the eve of the Civil War, rather than in 2018, during the greatest age of affluence, leisure, and freedom in the history of civilization. The ancient historian Thucydides called the civil discord that tore apart the ... Read More