Phi Beta Cons

Waiting for the Pope

Stratfor has a compelling analysis of the geopolitical motives of the Pope’s University of Regensburg’s address. Like Stratfor, I never believed, and indeed hoped not, that his remarks about jihadism were accidental.

This – “Faith, Politics and Reason: Parsing the Pope’s Remarks,” by George Friedman (login needed) – is a subtle analysis, ending summarily in:

The pope has thrown a hand grenade and is now observing the response. We are assuming that he knew what he was doing; in fact, we find it impossible to imagine that he did not. He is too careful not to have known. Therefore, he must have anticipated the response and planned his partial retreat.
It will be interesting to see if he has a next move.


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