The Agenda

Jim Manzi on the Difficulty of Establishing Causality

Though Jim Manzi is semi-retired as a blogger, he’s written a terrific post on the connection between lead and crime. Prompted by a well-regarded recent Mother Jones article on the subject by the left-of-center blogger Kevin Drum, Jim teases apart some of the assumptions embedded in the work of Jessica Wolpaw Reyes, a public health scholar who Drum draws on to make the case for a substantial investment in lead abatement. And I think Jim concludes on the right note: Drum, and by extension Reyes, make a strong case, but there is still uncertainty around the connection that needs to be taken into account as we weigh making an investment of X dollars vs. competing uses of those funds. My strong bias is to favor greater investment in lead abatement, so I’m grateful to Jim for his contribution. 

Reihan Salam is president of the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor of National Review.
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