The Campaign Spot

Another House Democrat Considering Switching Parties?

I managed to grab lunch at the Hilton Head First Monday Republican Lunch Group, a group I’ve addressed twice before, and probably will at some point in the coming months. The turnout today was easily double what I had seen in the past, with an overflow room. Some of the turnout might be because the five candidates for state education superintendent appeared, but the Hilton Head Republican Club president – a.k.a. “Dad” — tells me that turnout has steadily increased in the past year.

A few weeks back I noted a good 80 House races with either an open seat or a plausibly vulnerable Democrat incumbent. Hilton Head Island is Joe Wilson’s district, where Democrats continue to flush millions of dollars on a Democratic challenger who just picked up the endorsement of Larry Flynt. But there are three races on that list within a short drive: South Carolina incumbent John Spratt, and two Georgia Democrats who have hung on for many narrow wins – John Barrow and Jim Marshall.

Mick Mulvaney appears to be the most likely candidate to take on Spratt, and several folks at lunch said they would be volunteering for him.

Marshall’s district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index score of R+10, and he’s tried to protect himself by voting against cap-and-trade, S-CHIP expansion, and the health-care bill. But he did vote for the stimulus, and he hasn’t faced an environment like this.

Meanwhile, Barrow has a Democratic primary challenger hitting him from the left and five Republicans aiming to knock him off this year. Now Robert Stacy McCain offers this interesting tidbit about Barrow:

Some Georgia Republicans now believe that the Democrat may be contemplating a switch to the GOP, which would set up a divisive situation much like that in Alabama’s 5th District, where national Republican support for party-switcher Parker Griffith has enraged grassroots GOP activists.

Most Popular

White House

Trump’s Disgraceful Endgame

President Trump said the other day that he’d leave office if he loses the vote of the Electoral College on December 14. This is not the kind of assurance presidents of the United States typically need to make, but it was noteworthy given Trump’s disgraceful conduct since losing his bid for reelection to ... Read More
White House

Trump’s Disgraceful Endgame

President Trump said the other day that he’d leave office if he loses the vote of the Electoral College on December 14. This is not the kind of assurance presidents of the United States typically need to make, but it was noteworthy given Trump’s disgraceful conduct since losing his bid for reelection to ... Read More
World

China’s Pandemic Deception

You’ve made it to December in our annus horribilis. On the menu today: sorting through CNN’s fascinating but not completely illuminating bombshell involving leaked documents from the Hubei, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, filling in some details about the early days of the pandemic. More ... Read More
World

China’s Pandemic Deception

You’ve made it to December in our annus horribilis. On the menu today: sorting through CNN’s fascinating but not completely illuminating bombshell involving leaked documents from the Hubei, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, filling in some details about the early days of the pandemic. More ... Read More
Culture

Our Real Systemic Problem

America’s got a problem that’s systemic in nature. This problem has less to do with individual intentions than the structure within which our intentions are formed. That structure explains a great deal about observed disparities in wealth, and other advantages, between various racial and ethnic groups. It ... Read More
Culture

Our Real Systemic Problem

America’s got a problem that’s systemic in nature. This problem has less to do with individual intentions than the structure within which our intentions are formed. That structure explains a great deal about observed disparities in wealth, and other advantages, between various racial and ethnic groups. It ... Read More
Politics & Policy

Cinderella Man 2

Welcome to “The Tuesday,” a weekly newsletter about politics, language, culture, and, this week, film criticism. To subscribe to “The Tuesday” and receive it in your inbox as God and John Wayne intended, please follow this link. The Mona Lisa of Hillbilly Literature The Ron Howard film Hillbilly Elegy, ... Read More
Politics & Policy

Cinderella Man 2

Welcome to “The Tuesday,” a weekly newsletter about politics, language, culture, and, this week, film criticism. To subscribe to “The Tuesday” and receive it in your inbox as God and John Wayne intended, please follow this link. The Mona Lisa of Hillbilly Literature The Ron Howard film Hillbilly Elegy, ... Read More