The Campaign Spot

Bachmann: I’m in a Statistical Dead Heat, a.k.a. Fourth Place!

Michele Bachmann e-mails me (and everyone else on her campaign e-mail list):

Dear Fellow Conservative,

As one of my most loyal supporters I wanted you to be the first to know this exciting news. In a We Ask America poll just released today, our campaign is only four points behind Ron Paul for first place in Iowa!

We are in a statistical dead heat for the Iowa caucuses and I need your immediate support to push my campaign over the top!

I know with your support and prayers our campaign can prove victorious in January. Iowa is where Barack Obama’s campaign began and it is where it will end- when our campaign wins the first-in-the-nation caucuses!

Maybe “We Ask America” is ahead of the curve, but other recent polls have shown Bachmann nowhere near a “statistical dead heat”.

The first three polls were conducted at the beginning of the week; the KCRG one was conducted over ten days with a fairly small sample. So perhaps Bachmann really is starting to climb.

However, her “statistical dead heat” still has her in fourth place in the We Ask America results. She’s at 15 percent, Gingrich is at 16 percent, Romney is at 18 percent and Paul is at 19 percent.

I guess for those trailing, beggars can’t be choosers when it comes to good news.

Most Popular

PC Culture

Warren Is a Fraud

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) has been telling a story for years. It’s a deeply romantic story about her parents and their young love, fraught with the familial bigotry of an earlier time. Here’s how she told it this week in a video she released in preparation for her 2020 run: My daddy always said he ... Read More

Two Minnesota Republican Candidates Assaulted

Two Republican candidates for state office in Minnesota have been physically assaulted in recent days, leading prominent Republican lawmakers to caution their Democratic colleagues against employing inflammatory rhetoric. Republican state representative Sarah Anderson was punched in the arm last week after ... Read More

How Will the Senate Races Break?

How will the Senate races break? We have less public polling to go on than in recent years, so answering that question is harder than ever. But the news is more optimistic for Republicans than it was a month ago.   Waves and Breakers Four years ago, I projected in mid September that if “historical ... Read More
Politics & Policy

The Origins of Progressive Agony

What has transformed the Democratic party into an anguished progressive movement that incorporates the tactics of the street, embraces maenadism, reverts to Sixties carnival barking, and is radicalized by a new young socialist movement? Even party chairman Tom Perez concedes that there are “no moderate ... Read More