If Obama indeed got a bounce out of his foreign trip, and it was most reflected in the Gallup tracking poll of July 26 that had him up 49 percent to 40… well, today he’s up 46 to 42.
Dynamics of this race seem pretty stable since Obama got the nomination. Obama’s ahead, but not by much. He’s the favorite, and is running in a terrifically favorable climate. But he hasn’t closed the deal, and it’s quite possible he’ll be seen as a bit too risky for a majority, and/or voters in states that equal 270 electoral votes.