The Campaign Spot

Campbellmentum!

Remember when I doubted the wisdom of former congressman Tom Campbell “dropping out of the California governor’s race to run for Barbara Boxer’s U.S. Senate seat”? Remember when I asked, “If you were losing ground in a governor’s race — attracting 12, 27, 15, 20 percent in polls — how much better will you perform against two candidates who have a big head start?”

Yeah, forget I said that. Another poll in California puts Campbell ahead, with 27 percent, while Carly Fiorina has 16 percent and Chuck DeVore has 8 percent.

After an earlier poll showed similar results, Team DeVore said they weren’t worried, and perhaps he can still catch fire. After all, four months before Election Day in Massachusetts, to most voters “Scott Brown” probably sounded like an alias. Still, this is a hefty margin to make up.

Barbara Boxer leads against all GOP opponents, but not by too much – 4 over Campbell, 8 over Fiorina and DeVore. She’s polling in the mid-to-high 40s, suggesting that she’s beatable in the right electoral environment, if not easily beatable.

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Elections

About That ‘Broken Algorithm’

Of all the loopy assertions made at the press conference President Trump’s legal team conducted last Thursday, the one that has been most roundly derided is the since-ousted Sidney Powell’s claim that the national popular vote was such a landslide for President Trump “that it broke the algorithm that had ... Read More
Elections

About That ‘Broken Algorithm’

Of all the loopy assertions made at the press conference President Trump’s legal team conducted last Thursday, the one that has been most roundly derided is the since-ousted Sidney Powell’s claim that the national popular vote was such a landslide for President Trump “that it broke the algorithm that had ... Read More
U.S.

The Coming Anti-COVID Restriction Backlash

The backlash is coming. It already seems clear that the first major political and cultural eruption of the Biden years will be a roiling populist backlash against the next round of COVID restrictions. We saw this sentiment play out in sporadic anti-lockdown demonstrations last spring, and it has driven ... Read More
U.S.

The Coming Anti-COVID Restriction Backlash

The backlash is coming. It already seems clear that the first major political and cultural eruption of the Biden years will be a roiling populist backlash against the next round of COVID restrictions. We saw this sentiment play out in sporadic anti-lockdown demonstrations last spring, and it has driven ... Read More
Elections

To ‘Steal’ an Election

Dan has a good article on the homepage, the main point of which is that the system worked, since Trump’s efforts to reverse the election failed. Certainly I agree with him about that. But he also finds charges that Trump tried to “steal” the election “overheated.” Since I made such a claim myself, I ... Read More
Elections

To ‘Steal’ an Election

Dan has a good article on the homepage, the main point of which is that the system worked, since Trump’s efforts to reverse the election failed. Certainly I agree with him about that. But he also finds charges that Trump tried to “steal” the election “overheated.” Since I made such a claim myself, I ... Read More
World

‘Rebellious Scots’ Are Oddly Compliant

This summer, the Scottish Conservatives accused Scotland's first minister Nicola Sturgeon of misrepresenting data on multiple occasions in order to suggest that the prevalence of COVID-19 was five times higher in England than in Scotland. The Office for Statistics Regulation also rebuked the Scottish National ... Read More
World

‘Rebellious Scots’ Are Oddly Compliant

This summer, the Scottish Conservatives accused Scotland's first minister Nicola Sturgeon of misrepresenting data on multiple occasions in order to suggest that the prevalence of COVID-19 was five times higher in England than in Scotland. The Office for Statistics Regulation also rebuked the Scottish National ... Read More