The Campaign Spot

Can Republicans Can Take 16 Out of These 37 House Seats?

Via Influence Peddler, we notice these comment in Roll Call from  Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D-N.D.) and Rep. Artur Davis, (D-Ala.):

“It’s way too early to conclude that Hillary would be a disaster downballot for the party,” said Pomeroy, who is still mulling a 2008 endorsement…
Rep. Artur Davis (D-Ala.), an early supporter of Obama and also the recruitment chairman at the DCCC, said vulnerable Members in Southern states have expressed private concerns about the top of the ticket.
“They think Barack Obama would be stronger in their district than Hillary Clinton would be,” Davis said, asserting that the Illinois Senator has the broadest appeal, while Clinton’s strength is with rank-and-file Democrats.

In today’s article, I mentioned a list of thirty-seven red district (or districts where Bush garnered a majority, or ran well in 2004) House Democrats vulnerable if Hillary Clinton is the nominee prepared by one red state Democratic strategist, who is readying for a race next year in a Midwestern red district. The list:

 DISTRICT

Alabama–5

Arizona–5

Arizona–8

California–11

Colorado–7

Connecticut–2

Florida–16

Florida–22

Georgia–12

Georgia–8

Illinois–8

Indiana–2

Indiana–7

Indiana–8

Indiana–9

Iowa–1

Iowa–2

Kansas–2

Kentucky–3

Louisiana–3

Louisiana–4

Minnesota–1

Minnesota–7

New Hampshire–1

New Hampshire–2

New York–19

New York–24

North Carolina–11

North Dakota–1

Ohio–18

Pennsylvania–10

Pennsylvania–4

Pennsylvania–8

South Carolina–5

Texas–17

Texas–22

Wisconsin–8

DEM

Cramer

Mitchell

Giffords

McNerney

Perlmutter

Courtney

Mahoney

Klein

Barrow

Marshall

Bean

Donnelly

Carson

Ellsworth

Hill

Braley

Loebsack

Boyda

Yarmuth

Meloncon

Cox

Walz

Peterson

Shea-Porter

Hodes

Hall

Arcuri

Shuler

Pomeroy

Space

Carney

Altmire

Murphy

Spratt

Edwards

Lampson

Kagen

A few of these districts, like Simmons in Connecticut, are not really red or rural, but were added because of extremely close vote totals in 2006, or because the strategist worries the Democrat was helped greatly by circumstances unique to last year’s elections (weak challenger, unusual issues dominating campaign, etc.).

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