The Campaign Spot

Caution About Polling In Iowa From Halloween of the Year Before

If you haven’t already, check out my article elsewhere on NRO on the challenges of polling in Iowa, some historical perspective, and a sense of what we can figure out from the numbers so far….
Iowa is the inverse of the rest of the country this year. The Democratic competition is wide open, with Hillary, Obama, and Edwards neck and neck; the Republican race has Romney ahead by a wide margin and a bunch of others close together, competing for second place. Everywhere else, Hillary is way ahead, and the Republican primary is the truly competitive dogfight.

Most Popular

Elections

The Odds Are Slim to Nunes

When the history of the 2018 midterms is written, there will be a chapter on missed opportunities for Democrats. Some may wonder if they should have spent so much money supporting Beto O’Rourke in Texas, or whether Heidi Heitkamp was doomed from the start in North Dakota. One painful question for progressives ... Read More
Politics & Policy

The Beatification of Beto

The media’s treatment of Texas Democratic candidate Beto O’Rourke wasn’t the most egregiously unfair coverage of the past year -- that would be the treatment of Brett Kavanaugh -- but it ranks among 2018’s most annoying. The endless glowing profiles of O’Rourke in every publication from Vanity Fair to ... Read More