The NRCC passes along this word:
A new internal poll shows the race in PA-12 to be neck-and-neck. The numbers also demonstrate that intensity not only favors the GOP, but they give Tim Burns a 7-point edge among voters most tuned-in and aware of the Special Election on May 18. Key excerpts from the poll are included below:
· Tim Burns leads Mark Critz 43%-41%, with 14% remaining undecided.
· Among those most likely to vote, Tim Burn’s lead over Mark Critz is wider.
· Among those who can blindly correctly name the election day (40% of the electorate) Burns leads Critz 49% 42%.
· Among those most interested in the election (72% of the voters) Burns leads Critz 46% 40%.
· Among those who are extremely likely to vote (65% of the voters) Burns leads Critz 45% 41%.
NOTE: The results are from a survey of 400 likely voters completed in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional district by Public Opinion Strategies May 4-5, 2010. The margin of error on the survey is plus or minus 4.9%.
I’m glad the Burns folks are seeing this, but no one should have any illusions – this is going to be a tough, hard-fought race all the way to the end.