Two readers write in, noting that on InTrade, the futures trading market, Obama is surging and Hillary is plummeting. They ask, “does somebody know something we don’t?”
Tough to say. As posted earlier, the exit polls showed a close race in Texas, one showing Hillary up by 2, the other showing a tie. Obama winning by a small margin wouldn’t be a shock, but I haven’t seen any indicator of that yet.
UPDATE: Could this be because people see the live tallies on television, and think it’s significant that Obama is up 56 percent to 43 percent, with 1 percent of precincts reporting?