In Mike Allen’s morning newsletter:
THE CONVENTIONAL WISDOM:
–PRESIDENT OBAMA’s chance of being reelected: 75%
–MITT ROMNEY’s chance of being the GOP nominee: 20%
–JON HUNTSMAN’s chance of being the GOP nominee: 15% –
-SARAH PALIN’s chance of being the GOP nominee: 10%
Apparently the Conventional Wisdom has been drinking heavily. While Obama still has a healthy chance of being reelected, unless unemployment is closer to the 5-6-7 percent range, he’s nowhere near that high and much closer to 50-50.
And Jon Huntsman has a better chance of being the GOP nominee than Sarah Palin? What, he’s going to run his campaign from Beijing?