The Campaign Spot

Florida’s Gubernatorial Race, Coming Down to the Wire

Florida’s governor’s race is probably going to come down to the wire. This morning, Quinnipiac puts Republican Rick Scott barely ahead of Democrat Alex Sink, 45–44; at the beginning of the month, Scott had a 49–43 lead. That movement may not be statistically significant, but there are a bunch of ominous numbers in this poll for Scott:

Ms. Sink’s surge could be tied to voter belief, 44 – 28 percent, that she was a more ethical businessperson than Scott when both were in the private sector, the independent Quinnipiac University survey finds.  A total of 89 percent of likely voters say a candidate’s record in business is either somewhat or very important to their vote choice.

By a 42 – 37 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Sink, while Scott gets a negative 39 – 46 percent favorability rating.  This compares to the October 1 survey showing her with a split 39 – 39 percent favorability, compared to Scott’s split 41 – 40 percent.

It says a lot about the national environment that Sink can’t get ahead of a Republican with a negative favorability rating.

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