The Campaign Spot

Give Some of Those Races a Nudge, Larry!

I adore Larry Sabato; nobody returns a call faster in the world of politics. But I think he’s a little too cautious in his assessments of some of these House races. For example, he puts Ohio’s 16th congressional district race between incumbent Democrat John Boccieri and Republican Jim Renacci in “Leans Democrat.”

Yesterday a poll came out putting Renacci ahead, 47.2 percent to 34.9 percent, and the health-care bill that he voted for polled terribly in the district. It’s an R+4 district, and the GOP held the seat for the preceding 58 years. 

What would it take to get this nudged to “Toss Up” status?

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