The Campaign Spot

Good Polls for GOP Challengers in Texas, South Dakota

Yee-ha, Texas!

Republican Francisco Canseco released an internal poll Thursday that shows him with a slight lead over Rep. Ciro Rodriguez, D-San Antonio.

Rodriguez, meanwhile, filed a complaint charging his opponent with accepting illegal campaign contributions — a charge the Canseco campaign called a “fishing” expedition.

An internal poll of 400 likely voters in the congressional district, conducted by Washington, D.C.-based On Message Inc., found Canseco favored by 45.3 percent of those surveyed, compared to 39.3 percent for Rodriguez.

The poll — conducted Oct.19-20, with the results released Thursday — showed other candidates with 9.6 percent of the vote and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

“It’s very clear that people are looking for different representation in Congress,” said Scott Yeldell, a Canseco spokesman.

Meanwhile, I suggest South Dakotans adopt the slogan, “To Noem Is to Love ‘Em.”

Republican Kristi Noem has moved slightly further ahead of incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in South Dakota’s election for the U.S. House of Representatives.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Noem, a state legislator, picking up 49% of the vote, while Herseth-Sandlin draws support from 44%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

Earlier this month, Noem moved to a 47% to 44% edge after slipping behind in September. Since winning the GOP Primary in June, Noem has been slightly ahead of Herseth-Sandlin in every survey but one with 45% to 53% support. The incumbent has earned 41% to 47% of the vote in that same period and held a slight lead only once, 47% to 45% in early September, following news reports about Noem’s driving record.

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