The Campaign Spot

GOP Challenger Leading Democratic Incumbent in Maryland

A Republican polling firm, Public Opinion Strategies, finds GOP challenger Andy Harris ahead of incumbent Democrat Frank Kratovil by 3 percent in Maryland’s 1st congressional district.

The health-care bill is polling at 35 percent favor, 58 percent oppose in this district; only 30 percent say the stimulus is working, while 65 percent say it was “just a government spending program that did not create enough new jobs for the money.”

This is not that surprising, as this is Maryland’s reddest district, and Kratovil’s 2008 win looks like a bit of a fluke, helped along by deep divisions in the local GOP that year.