The Campaign Spot

GOP Lead on Generic Ballot: The Highest Ever… Again!

Insert your preferred exclamation here. “Leapin’ Lizards!” perhaps.

Wow. “Republicans lead by 51% to 41% among registered voters in Gallup weekly tracking of 2010 congressional voting preferences. The 10-percentage-point lead is the GOP’s largest so far this year and is its largest in Gallup’s history of tracking the midterm generic ballot for Congress.”

Inevitably, someone will argue (correctly) that there is no such thing as a generic candidate. But put another way, the GOP is running 10 points ahead of where they were in the final poll before Election Day 1994.

There’s still a bit more than two months before November 2, and if you’re a Republican, you’ve probably seen your party snatch defeat from the jaws of victory plenty of times before. I’m sure we’ll see October surprises. Someone will probably have a defining gaffe between now and then.

But indicators like this suggest we may be heading for a GOP landslide beyond the capacity of the Beltway media to imagine.


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