So I’m calling around, asking people if they’ve heard any exit poll numbers. And no one has. And then I remember, I’m not going to believe this either way.
If the numbers were good for McCain, I’d be happy to hear it but wouldn’t put too much stock in it, because the exit polls presumably are of those who voted today, and wouldn’t take into account the early voters. You figure the early voters are disproportionately Democrat, the folks who were most eager to go and vote for Obama.
If the numbers were bad for McCain, I’d remember that Fox News poll that said that his voters were 13 percent less likely to take the time to fill out an exit pollster’s questionairre. I’d remember the embarrassment of the exit pollsters in 2004. I’d remember the key states where the exit polls were way off in 2006. I’d remember how the exit poll data I was getting in the primaries often had often the most distant relationship with the actual results.
Wonkette was among those who leaked the wildly-skewed-to-Kerry results four years ago today. Today… nothing?
UPDATE: From Allahpundit: “The polling firm’s been locked in a room sans Blackberries and cell phones. See yesterday’s LA Times for details. You won’t see any data before 5 p.m. At least, none that’s reliable.”