The Campaign Spot

A Jarring Statistic in Romney’s Nevada Victory

I don’t think the Mormon card is a legitimate card to play against Mitt Romney. Love him or hate him, there are plenty of reasons to vote for or against the man besides his religion.

But if the entrance polls are accurate – that 25 percent of the GOP caucusgoers were Mormon, and that 94 percent of those voters voted for Romney – then the post-victory spin from his rivals is going to be, “Well, what do you expect? He mobilized the Mormons, and they put him over the top.” (To his credit, he also won evangelical Protestants and Catholics, but by much narrower margins.)
If accurate, that’s a wildly disproportionate turnout for that demographic. As MSNBC notes, they’re 7.5 percent of the state’s population.
I can hear the cries of, “so what?” Yes, Nevadans are free to vote for or against any candidate on whatever basis. But I’m almost as disturbed by those who vote for a candidate because of his or her religion as I am by those who vote against a candidate because of his or her religion.
I mean, I’m Catholic (and a lousy one at that), but if I put the religious denomination above all else, I’d end up voting for Mario Cuomo, Nancy Pelosi, Ted Kennedy, John Kerry, Bob Menendez, etc. …
UPDATE: Having said all that, if I were a Mormon, I might want to vote for a Mormon candidate, just to give candidates who ask, “don’t Mormons believe that Jesus and the devil are brothers?” a poke in the eye…
ANOTHER UPDATE: And does this disqualify my earlier comment that this state was outside Romney’s “comfort zone?” … Eh. You figure Romney would have two regions in which he would fit well – Massachusetts and the states near it (although that didn’t work in New Hampshire, obviously) and Michigan because of his family history.
YET ANOTHER UPDATE: Several reader e-mail me that George W. Bush got 95 percent of the Mormon vote in the 2004 general election, so they vote for conservatives, not just members of their own faith. But that’s a general election, up against Senator “Hollywood represents the best of our nation,” a guy who makes Joe Lieberman look conservative. Romney up against Thompson, Paul, Hunter…  I don’t think even McCain or Giuliani compare to Kerry if your measuring stick is who is least conservative.

Most Popular

Another Pollster Sees a Trump Win

The Trafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly is an outlier among pollsters in that he thinks President Trump will carry Michigan, Pennsylvania, or both, and hence be reelected with roughly 280 electoral votes. (I explained his thinking here.) Last week another pollster, Jim Lee of Susquehanna Polling and Research, ... Read More

Another Pollster Sees a Trump Win

The Trafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly is an outlier among pollsters in that he thinks President Trump will carry Michigan, Pennsylvania, or both, and hence be reelected with roughly 280 electoral votes. (I explained his thinking here.) Last week another pollster, Jim Lee of Susquehanna Polling and Research, ... Read More
Media

‘Anonymous’ Falls Flat

On the menu today: The op-ed page of the New York Times made the deliberate decision to hoodwink America about the identity of “Anonymous”; the sense of guilt that pervades legacy media -- a very apt label; and wondering whether or not we will even see long lines on Election Day with early voting being so ... Read More
Media

‘Anonymous’ Falls Flat

On the menu today: The op-ed page of the New York Times made the deliberate decision to hoodwink America about the identity of “Anonymous”; the sense of guilt that pervades legacy media -- a very apt label; and wondering whether or not we will even see long lines on Election Day with early voting being so ... Read More

Hunter Biden on Tape?

In a newly released recording, a man purported to be Hunter Biden is heard rambling about (a) his legal representation of Patrick Ho, a convicted former Hong Kong official he refers to as “the f***ing spy chief of China”; (b) his business dealings with Ye Jianming, the corrupt Chinese high roller, whom Hunter ... Read More

Hunter Biden on Tape?

In a newly released recording, a man purported to be Hunter Biden is heard rambling about (a) his legal representation of Patrick Ho, a convicted former Hong Kong official he refers to as “the f***ing spy chief of China”; (b) his business dealings with Ye Jianming, the corrupt Chinese high roller, whom Hunter ... Read More
Economy & Business

Daylight Savings Forever

Before I became a parent, I didn't have especially strong feelings about the time shifting by an hour twice a year. Like most people I was aware of the downsides -- increased car accidents, schedule confusion, etc. -- and I figured it would be better to knock it off. But I didn't feel personally offended by ... Read More
Economy & Business

Daylight Savings Forever

Before I became a parent, I didn't have especially strong feelings about the time shifting by an hour twice a year. Like most people I was aware of the downsides -- increased car accidents, schedule confusion, etc. -- and I figured it would be better to knock it off. But I didn't feel personally offended by ... Read More