The Campaign Spot

Kentucky Could Very Well Be a Repeat of West Virginia

A few thoughts expanding on this sentence in the previous post : “Her best counties were the ones that border Kentucky, suggesting that while he will probably win Oregon easily, she may be on course for a similar blowout in the neighboring state next week”…
Two West Virginia counties directly border Kentucky. Hillary’s margin in Wayne County was 79 percent to 14 percent; in Mingo County her margin was 88 percent to 8 percent.
Five West Virginia counties are one county away from the Kentucky border. Looking at them we find Hillary winning McDowell County: 72 percent to 22 percent; Cabell County: 64 percent to 30 percent; Lincoln County: 79 percent to 13 percent; Wyoming County: 80 percent to 11 percent; and Logan County: 84 percent to 11 percent.
In West Virginia, there were four polls conducted in May, giving Clinton a margin by 36, by 43, by 29, and by 40. She won by 41.
In Kentucky, there have been three polls in the month of May: Clinton by 27, Clinton by 25, Clinton by 34.
UPDATE: Some of my readers in Kentucky argue that Louisville will be worth 10 points to Obama. 

Most Popular


Stick a Fork in O’Rourke

If, as I wrote last week here, Joe Biden may save the Democratic party from a horrible debacle at the polls next year, Beto O’Rourke may be doing the whole process a good turn now. Biden, despite his efforts to masquerade as the vanguard of what is now called progressivism, is politically sane and, if ... Read More

Ivy-League Schools Wither

A  number of liberal bastions are daily being hammered — especially the elite university and Silicon Valley. A Yale and a Stanford, or Facebook and Google, assume — for the most part rightly — that each is so loudly progressive that the public, federal and state regulators, and politicians would of ... Read More

In Defense of the Electoral College

Senator Elizabeth Warren has joined a growing chorus within the Democratic party in calling for the abolition of the Electoral College. Speaking at a forum in Mississippi on Monday night, Warren said that she hoped to ensure that “every vote matters” and proposed that “the way we can make that happen is ... Read More