I don’t really think New York will be competitive this election cycle, but I’m a little suprised that McCain is within 10 or 11 of either Democrat, according to Quinnipiac.
Clinton tops Sen. McCain 50 – 40 percent, while Obama is ahead 49 – 38 percent. But there is a huge racial split in the Obama-McCain matchup. The Republican is ahead 47 – 40 percent among white New York State voters, while black voters back the Democrat 86 – 6 percent….
“It’s a blue state, remember. Sen. McCain would lose to either Sen. Clinton or Sen. Obama by almost the same double-digit margin,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “But those racial and gender breakdowns are troubling for the Democrats. If Obama trails among white voters in New York, one of the most liberal states in the nation, what does that say about his chances in other states? And Clinton also must rely on a big turnout by women and blacks if she wants to win in November.”
A big poll roundup coming shortly…