The Campaign Spot

Monday Morning’s Great Big Rasmussen Roundup

This weekend and this morning, Scott Rasmussen releases a whole bunch of polls, mostly reassuring to Republicans.

Nationwide, 55 percent want to repeal Obamacare; 38 percent oppose repeal. That’s down from last week but within the usual range on this question.

The South Dakota House-seat race continues to look good for Republicans:

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows [GOP challenger Kristi] Noem picking up 51 percent support against [Democrat incumbent Stephanie] Herseth-Sandlin, who receives 42 percent of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are undecided. The latest numbers mark an improvement for the Republican challenger from the 49 percent to 44 percent lead she held in July.

In Delaware’s Senate race, Republican Mike Castle leads Democrat Chris Coons, 49 percent to 37 percent. In a Democrat-leaning state, it’s not inconceivable that this race gets more competitive, but it’s not terribly likely.

Conservative Republican Christie O’Donnell led a match-up with Coons last month, but that may have been an outlier:

Conservative activist Christine O’Donnell, who is challenging Castle for the GOP Senate nomination in a September 14 primary, now runs 10 points behind Coons. The Democrat gets 46 percent of the vote to O’Donnell’s 36 percent.  Ten percent (10%) favor another candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.  Last month, O’Donnell was running virtually even with Coons, 41 percent to 39 percent.

And in New Hampshire, the GOP front-runner remains favored in the general election:

Former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte continues to hold a double-digit lead over Democratic Congressman Paul Hodes in the race for governor of New Hampshire. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Granite State shows Ayotte, a Republican, earning 51 percent support, her best showing to date, while Hodes picks up 38 percent of the vote. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

This is about what I expected in North Carolina:

North Carolina’s race for the U.S. Senate has grown a little closer this month, but Republican incumbent Richard Burr still holds a modest advantage over Democrat Elaine Marshall. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in North Carolina shows Burr capturing 49 percent support, while Marshall earns 40 percent of the vote.

Meanwhile, the Kansas Senate race looks like a barnburner:

Congressman Jerry Moran, the winner of Tuesday’s hotly contested GOP Primary, leads Democratic Primary winner Lisa Johnston by better than two-to-one. Moran earns 61 percent support, while Johnston picks up 28 percent of the vote.

And finally, Michigan:

A new poll indicates Republican Rick Snyder has an early double-digit lead over Democrat Virgil Bernero in the race for Michigan governor. The Rasmussen poll shows if the election were held today, the Ann Arbor venture capitalist leads the Lansing Mayor and one-time State Senator 39-percent to 27-percent.

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