The Campaign Spot

Is This Much-Touted Democratic Wave Skipping Certain Districts?

Patrick Ruffini echoes the theme of this post — that for what’s supposed to be a terrible cycle for Republicans, they’re poised to knock off some Democratic incumbents, something they couldn’t do at all in 2006 — and points to another House races where the GOP is overperforming. In Georgia, Democratic Congressman David Scott* is only up by 5 percent, and is way below 50 percent.

A couple readers responded to yesterday’s post by pointing to anecdotal evidence that their Democratic congressman is in trouble. In most cases, I’ll believe it when I see it, but it’s interesting that we’re being told that it’s a Democratic wave election, but the wave isn’t showing up in certain districts — and these are districts in swing states like Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Florida.

Ruffini is right — “If you’re a no name challenger who gets 40 to 45 percent next Tuesday, you’re in excellent position to come back in 2010.”

* Originally said Bobby Scott, from Ruffini’s post. I thought Bobby Scott was in Virginia…

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