With 90 out of 610 precincts reporting, Republican Tedisco has a narrow lead over Democrat Murphy, 52 percent to 48 percent. About 700 votes separate the candidates at this point.
Murphy is now ahead by about 200 votes.
9:38 p.m. UPDATE: No sooner than I finish posting that than Tedisco goes ahead by about 800 votes.
I checked the results from 2008 in Saratoga County. Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand carried it, 58.7 percent to Sandy Treadwell’s 35.4 percent. So far, tonight, Tedisco is performing much better, 15,009 votes to 11,663, a 56-44 split.
9:42 p.m. UPDATE: With more than half the precincts reporting, it’s “tight as a tick,” as Dan Rather would say. Tedisco is ahead by about 320 votes.
9:44 p.m. UPDATE: From a political junkie reader: “My guess: Recount. The way both sides want to spin this, if it’s within 500 the lawyers will be air-dropped in.”
9:47 p.m. UPDATE: Results coming in really quickly now. With about two-thirds of precincts reporting, 424 out of 610, Tedisco leads, 52,815 to 51,878.
9:55 p.m. UPDATE: 496 out of 610 precincts reporting, Tedisco leads Murphy, 63,197 to 62,147 — a 1,050 vote lead.
9:59 p.m. UPDATE: 505 out of 610 precincts reporting, Tedisco leads Murphy, 63,923 to 62,811 — a 1,112 vote lead.
10:08 p.m. UPDATE: 534 out of 610 precincts reporting, Tedisco leads Murphy, 68,421 to 67,070 — a 1,351 vote lead.
Meanwhile, a Long Island reader notes that the Democrat won the Brookhaven town supervisor open seat mentioned earlier today.
10:13 p.m. UPDATE: Wow, just got a lot closer. With 591 out of 610 precincts reporting, Tedisco leads 74,251 to 74,221 — a mere 30 vote lead!
10:17 p.m. UPDATE: An astonishing turnaround. With only 3 precincts remaining, Scott Murphy takes the lead 76,573 votes to 76,321 — a 252 vote margin.
10:23 p.m. UPDATE: This is almost certainly going to a recount; I’m hearing contradictory information on whether these totals include absentees. Murphy 77,208, Tedisco 77,127, an 81 vote margin, with one precinct remaining.
10:29 p.m. UPDATE: There are 6,000 absentees, according to every other political junkie watching the race on my Twitter feed. Looks like no final decision tonight.
10:36 p.m. UPDATE: We’re not getting a winner tonight, folks. Word is “Absentee ballots and emergency paper ballots in the 20th Congressional District special election have been impounded under a court order, said Bob Brehm, a spokesman for the state Board of Elections.”