The Campaign Spot

Quinnipiac: The Pennsylvania Shift Isn’t Just in the Senate Race

Hmmm.

In the Pennsylvania governor’s race, Democrat Dan Onorato, the Allegheny County Executive, has erased most of State Attorney General Tom Corbett’s 15-point likely voter lead and now trails the Republican 49 – 44 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 54 – 39 percent Corbett lead in a September 21 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac University.

In today’s results, Corbett leads 86 – 7 percent among Republicans and 58 – 32 percent among independent voters, while Onorato is ahead 87 – 9 percent among Democrats.  Only 6 percent of likely voters remain undecided.  Sixteen percent of Onorato voters and 14 percent of Corbett backers say they might change their mind before Election Day.

“As we get closer to Election Day, Democrats are showing more interest in voting.  This is often the case in off-year elections and that makes this a more competitive race,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.  “Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato has the momentum, but Attorney General Tom Corbett still has the five-point lead with 11 days to go.

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