I had wondered about that Quinnipiac poll showing a “mini-surge” for Democrats in Ohio.
Now Jon Keeling notes that today’s sample was 24 percent Republican, 33* percent Democrat, and 33 percent independent or no party, and the remaining 9 percent were other or refused to answer.
In February, Quinnipiac had it at 27 percent Republican, 30 percent Democrat, and 37 percent independent, and 4 percent other or refused to answer.
That 33/24 split among Democrats and Republicans really stands out, as the 2008 exit poll put the split in Ohio at 39 percent Democrat, 31 percent Republican. In other words, does Quinnipiac really think that the makeup of the electorate will be better for Democrats on Election Day 2010 than it was in 2008?
UPDATE: I was originally informed this was 34, not 33.