The Campaign Spot

Romney, Perry Lead Obama in Virginia

Roanoke College is out with a new poll, showing mostly good news for Republicans:

With 14 months remaining until the 2012 election, Virginia’s U.S. Senate race is a statistical dead heat.  Republican George Allen leads Democrat Tim Kaine 42% to 39% with 19% undecided. President Obama trails some potential Republican opponents, but he leads others. The generic (unnamed) Republican leads Obama 41% to 33%; Mitt Romney leads 45% to 37%; and Rick Perry leads by an statistically insignificant 42% to 40%. At the same time, Obama leads potential opponents Michele Bachmann (46% to 35%), Ron Paul (43% to 33%), and Sarah Palin (50% to 31%). Looking only at registered voters, none of those margins change by more than 1 percent and several do not change at all. Within two key groups, Kaine leads among Moderates (52%-30%), but Allen leads among Independents (42%-33%).  Obama also performs better among Moderates and not as well with Independents.*

The Poll includes interviews conducted with 601 residents of the Old Dominion between September 6 and September 17. The Poll has a margin of error of + 4 percent.

The survey also finds Gov. Bob McDonnell continues to struggle with a mere 67 percent approval rating.

One of the intriguing wrinkles to the 2012 presidential race in Virginia has been that because the state’s economy is doing better than most, the traditional “Obama’s policies are failing us” message that will work for Republicans in so many other places may not work here. Looking at various swing states, we see Nevada’s unemployment is 13.4 percent, Michigan’s is 11.2 percent, Florida’s is 10.7 percent, North Carolina’s is 10.4 percent, Ohio’s is 9.1 percent… and then Virginia’s is 6.3 percent. You can chalk that up to McDonnell’s policies (CNBC ranks the state the best for business), or government spending in Northern Virginia, or Virginia soybean exports to China, but whatever the reason, Virginians aren’t as gloomy about their economic prospects as most Americans are.

But according to this survey, most Virginians feel differently about their state’s future than they do about the national future. They find 48.5 percent of Virginia respondents think the state is headed in the right direction and 41.3 percent think it is on the wrong track; but only 14.8 percent think the country is headed in the right direction and 80.8 percent think the country is on the wrong track.

Most Popular

The Devil Wears Prada: CDC Edition

Fade In: The Runway Magazine team is busily trying to arrange things for the next fashion shoot. Miranda Priestly, the imperious and impatient and withering editor in chief, sorts through the various items from the racks of couture garments. The underlings stand by, terrified. Off to the side, Miranda’s ... Read More

The Devil Wears Prada: CDC Edition

Fade In: The Runway Magazine team is busily trying to arrange things for the next fashion shoot. Miranda Priestly, the imperious and impatient and withering editor in chief, sorts through the various items from the racks of couture garments. The underlings stand by, terrified. Off to the side, Miranda’s ... Read More
Elections

The Winds of Woke

Before Thursday morning I had not heard of Thomas Bosco, and I am willing to bet you haven’t heard of him either. He runs a café in Upper Manhattan. From the picture in the New York Times, the Indian Road Café is one of those Bobo-friendly brick-lined coffee shops with chalkboard menus affixed to the wall ... Read More
Elections

The Winds of Woke

Before Thursday morning I had not heard of Thomas Bosco, and I am willing to bet you haven’t heard of him either. He runs a café in Upper Manhattan. From the picture in the New York Times, the Indian Road Café is one of those Bobo-friendly brick-lined coffee shops with chalkboard menus affixed to the wall ... Read More
Culture

The Fragility of the Woke

A TikTok video that recently went viral on social media showed a recent Harvard graduate threatening to stab anyone who said “all lives matter.” In her melodrama, she tried to sound intimidating with her histrionics. She won a huge audience, as she intended. But her video also came to the attention of the ... Read More
Culture

The Fragility of the Woke

A TikTok video that recently went viral on social media showed a recent Harvard graduate threatening to stab anyone who said “all lives matter.” In her melodrama, she tried to sound intimidating with her histrionics. She won a huge audience, as she intended. But her video also came to the attention of the ... Read More
Culture

No One Is Ever Woke Enough

Closing out the week: The Harper’s letter calling for freedom of expression demonstrates that no one is ever “woke” enough, and that any institution that tries to make peace with the perpetually aggrieved eventually becomes dysfunctional; the value of Hamilton as a litmus test of the limits of cancel ... Read More
Culture

No One Is Ever Woke Enough

Closing out the week: The Harper’s letter calling for freedom of expression demonstrates that no one is ever “woke” enough, and that any institution that tries to make peace with the perpetually aggrieved eventually becomes dysfunctional; the value of Hamilton as a litmus test of the limits of cancel ... Read More