The Campaign Spot

Specter Can Avoid His Toomsday, but Sestak Is Still Toomed

Toomeyworld isn’t too worried about a poll showing their man trailing by a bit in the general election against Sestak.

The sense is, with $5 million in ads in the past couple of days, and his victory over one of the state’s giants dominating the headlines, Sestak was due for a big bump. There’s a suspicion that right now, most Pennsylvanians know Sestak just as a former Navy officer who didn’t switch parties as recently as Specter did.

In that same poll, Rasmussen found:

Among voters not affiliated with either major political party in the state, Toomey leads 41% to 32%.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Pennsylvania voters approve of the job President Obama is doing, while 52% disapprove. Those numbers include 27% who strongly approve of the president’s performance and 39% who strongly disapprove.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Pennsylvania voters favor repeal of the health care law, which is slightly higher than results found nationwide. Thirty-five percent (35%) oppose repeal of the law. Those numbers include 47% who strongly favor repeal and 25% who strongly oppose it.

I’m also reminded of last year’s Virginia governor’s race, where Creigh Deeds surprised everyone by winning the primary by a wide margin over Terry McAuliffe and Brian Moran. A few days later, Rasmussen showed him up 47 percent to 41 percent. It turned out to be the only poll Deeds led over McDonnell the entire year, and McDonnell won by the widest margin by a GOP gubernatorial nominee ever in Virginia, 59 percent to 41 percent.

UPDATE: One of my favorite readers, Number Cruncher, weighs in:

If I were Sestak’s campaign manager, I would be disappointed with that.  Mark it down, the next time Rasmussen polls this race Toomey will be up again by 3 to 5, probably winning by about 6 or 7.  Trust me, this is a lousy bounce, I expected Sustak to be up by 8 or 9 in this Democratic State.  Lets see his 46 percent when Toomey starts comparing Sustak to Pelosi and Reid.

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