Strategic Vision will be releasing polls in Michigan and Wisconsin tomorrow. In Michigan, they find Obama ahead 45 percent to 44 percent, in a sample that breaks down to 47 percent Democrat and only 38 percent Republican. (I don’t quibble much with SV’s breakdown, as I would expect more registered Democrats in the sample. Some might argue that 9 percent is too high, though.) Another 9 percent are undecided and 2 percent are for other candidates.
In Wisconsin, they find Obama ahead 46 percent to 43 percent; that sample is 34 percent Democrat, 27 percent Republican.
Both polls were conducted September 5-7, and the margin of error is three percent.