The Campaign Spot

A Tie in NY-22?

I mentioned on Twitter the sense that GOP momentum in the House races is still roaring along, while it is stalled in the Senate races (and perhaps the gubernatorial ones). There are a couple of possible reasons for this; a strong possibility is that the Democratic base’s awakening and energizing will be a bigger deal in states than in the red and purple districts. Philadelphia Democrats getting energized helps Joe Sestak; it doesn’t do much for other endangered Pennsylvania Democrats like Kathy Dahlkemper or Paul Kanjorski.

Here’s one more interesting indicator coming my way:

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of an autodial survey of likely general election voters in New York’s Twenty-Second Congressional District. The interviews were conducted October 19th, 2010.

This survey has a margin of error of +/‐ 2.89% at the 95 percent confidence interval.This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 general election cycles.

If the election for Congress was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were George Phillips, Republican, or Maurice Hinchey, Democrat?

Maurice Hinchey …………………………………………………………… 43.2%

George Phillips ……………………………………………………………… 43.2%

Most Popular

Elections

The 2020 Battle Begins

The 2020 campaign begins in earnest next week in Florida, when Donald Trump officially launches his reelection bid. On June 26, 20 Democratic candidates and five moderators hold the first of two nights of debates. Where do things stand? According to the polls, President Trump starts at a disadvantage. He has ... Read More
Energy & Environment

The Climate Trap for Democrats

The more the climate debate changes, the more it stays the same. Polls show that the public is worried about climate change, but that doesn’t mean that it is any more ready to bear any burden or pay any price to combat it. If President Donald Trump claws his way to victory again in Pennsylvania and the ... Read More