The Campaign Spot

A Tie in NY-22?

I mentioned on Twitter the sense that GOP momentum in the House races is still roaring along, while it is stalled in the Senate races (and perhaps the gubernatorial ones). There are a couple of possible reasons for this; a strong possibility is that the Democratic base’s awakening and energizing will be a bigger deal in states than in the red and purple districts. Philadelphia Democrats getting energized helps Joe Sestak; it doesn’t do much for other endangered Pennsylvania Democrats like Kathy Dahlkemper or Paul Kanjorski.

Here’s one more interesting indicator coming my way:

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of an autodial survey of likely general election voters in New York’s Twenty-Second Congressional District. The interviews were conducted October 19th, 2010.

This survey has a margin of error of +/‐ 2.89% at the 95 percent confidence interval.This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 general election cycles.

If the election for Congress was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were George Phillips, Republican, or Maurice Hinchey, Democrat?

Maurice Hinchey …………………………………………………………… 43.2%

George Phillips ……………………………………………………………… 43.2%

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