It’s far too early to make confident predictions about what will happen in November, but at this point, things are looking good . . . for the Democrats. The maps over at RealClearPolitics have the party leading the race for the presidency and the House and facing a toss-up in the Senate. The betting market PredictIt has the Democrats favored to win the White House, the House, and the Senate — and roughly even odds to win all three at once.
If the Dems just win the White House and keep the House, that will mean divided government. A future Biden administration can do a lot of things through executive action, just as Obama and Trump have, but major left-wing legislation will be off the table, and the Senate will be able to block bad judicial nominees. But if this election goes so poorly for the GOP that the party loses the Senate too, Democrats will be positioned to spend two years giving the country a good hard shove to the left. With a big enough margin, they could even eliminate the legislative filibuster, as Biden has already threatened, and enact any law they wanted on a party-line vote.
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