Is Coronavirus Killing Crime?

Probably not, according to the available data.

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An NYPD officer takes a selfie in an almost empty Times Square in New York City, March 31, 2020.

Brendan McDermid/Reuters

With big-city streets emptied out, many people are assuming that the coronavirus has had at least one positive consequence: low crime. But what little data there are reveal that some crimes, including key indicators, have actually increased. Another oddity is that while the amount of crime varies from city to city, it does not necessarily correlate with a municipality’s rate of infection.

Anecdotal reports suggest that domestic-violence cases are up because families are required to remain in their homes, where frustrations and abuse are mounting. This may be true, but so far there is little hard evidence to support the claim. It is also said that police are making fewer arrests in order to avoid contact with suspects. If so, this could increase crime by removing the disincentive created by arrests.

Barry Latzer

About the Author

Barry Latzer

Barry Latzer is an emeritus professor of criminal justice at John Jay College of Criminal Justice. His latest book is The Myth of Overpunishment: A Defense of the American Justice System and a Proposal to Reduce Incarceration While Protecting the Public.

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