Could a Third Party Win in 2024 or Play a Spoiler Role?

Every four years as a presidential election looms, more and more Americans talk about the chance that third-party or independent candidate will win the White House. With the conventional wisdom pointing to another matchup between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, a June Quinnipiac poll found that 47 percent of registered voters would consider an alternative to them.

Dissatisfaction is high enough that a bipartisan group called No Labels is planning to spend $70 million to get ballot status in all 50 states and run an independent “unity” ticket should the choice indeed be Trump vs. Biden. The decision on whether to run such a ticket and who would be on it would be made at a national nominating convention in Dallas next April.

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John Fund

John Fund is National Review’s national-affairs reporter.

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Every four years as a presidential election looms, more and more Americans talk about the chance that third-party or independent candidate will win the White House. With the conventional wisdom pointing to another matchup between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, a June Quinnipiac poll found that 47 percent of registered voters would consider an alternative to them.

Dissatisfaction is high enough that a bipartisan group called No Labels is planning to spend $70 million to get ballot status in all 50 states and run an independent “unity” ticket should the choice indeed be Trump vs. Biden. The decision on whether to run such a ticket and who would be on it would be made at a national nominating convention in Dallas next April.