Rumors about a sequester โfixโ are rampant, but Senate Republicans doubt that anything โ even a bill to exchange the current across-the-board sequester cuts for alternative cuts โ can pass in the coming days.
Recently, Senate Republicans have been buzzing about giving the White House flexibility to decide how the automatic spending cuts are applied. Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.) has suggested giving agency heads discretion on how the cuts are enforced. But due to bipartisan reluctance, that option is quickly disappearing.
โI donโt think it will pass,โ says Senator Jeff Flake (R., Ariz.), when asked about a proposal to give the administration more leeway. Senator Bob Corker (R., Tenn.) agrees. He is also skeptical of any such legislation passing. โThereโs a lot of passion around this issue of which amendment to vote for, which bill,โ he says. โNone of them are going to pass.โ
Republicans remain unconvinced that President Obama would be interested in any solution that makes the sequester cuts less onerous and also excludes tax hikes. โHeโs the one having to make the cuts,โ Flake says, expounding on why Senate Democrats and the president arenโt jumping at the chance to exercise control. โThese are tough cuts to make. So I think heโd rather blame the Congress.โ
Indeed, in a Tuesday speech in Virginia, Obama rejected the floated flexibility proposal. โNow, lately, some people have been saying, well, maybe weโll just give the president some flexibility,โ he said. โHe could make the cuts the way he wants and that way it wonโt be as damaging.โ
โThe problem is when youโre cutting $85 billion in seven months, which represents over a 10 percent cut in the defense budget in seven months, thereโs no smart way to do that,โ he continued. โThereโs no smart way to do that. You donโt want to have to choose between, letโs see, do I close funding for the disabled kid, or the poor kid? Do I close this Navy shipyard or some other one?โ
Such blatant opposition from Obama decreases further the chance of legislation to provide greater discretion coming to the floor in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Passage of a related bill, an aide to McConnell acknowledges, would be โtough.โ
Meanwhile, Republicans anticipate that Democrats will try to make the sequester as politically painful as possible, even as they reject any of the Republicansโ substitution cuts. When asked about the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agencyโs having preemptively discharged detained immigrants, Corker says he anticipated the Obama administration would โdo things that are the most painful.โ
โTheyโre going to do the things that create the most news,โ Corker says. โTheyโre going to do the things that upset the American people most.โ That, he adds, was why the White House isnโt embracing the chance to have the flexibility to make different cuts. โIf they had that, theyโd have to take ownership of those decisions, which they donโt want to do. Theyโre going to do the things that are most painful.โ
Further complicating the GOPโs strategy further is Senate majority leader Harry Reidโs threat that he will only allow the GOP to bring up one sequester alternative to the floor for a vote. Senate Republicans have not yet made an announcement about what their plans would be should Reid keep to his promise.
But Republicans are determined to delay the sequester โ itโs just not clear how theyโll do it. Inside the conference, there is widespread frustration over Obama, once again, attempting to hijack a fiscal crisis and turn it into another revenue-raiser. โ[Obama] got his big tax increase,โ says Senator John Thune (R., S.D.), the Senate Republican conference chairman. โHe keeps talking about balance. Well, the fiscal-cliff deal wasnโt balanced. It was all taxes.โ
For his part, Flake says that heโd prefer the current sequester to take effect rather than postpone it or โneuterโ any of the cuts. โIf we canโt get dollar-for-dollar cuts elsewhere, significant cuts, then go forward with the sequester,โ he concludes. Since Democrats are unwilling to accept any compromise that doesnโt include revenue, that may well be the end result.
โ Katrina Trinko is an NRO reporter.







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