Delusion Keeps the Iranian Threat Alive

Danger persists as a result of the United States’ historically rosy view of Iranian politics and Iran’s fantasies about real-world events.

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Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps military personnel march under Iranian flags in a military parade commemorating the anniversary of the Iran-Iraq War outside the Khomeini Shrine in Tehran, Iran, September 21, 2024.

Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images

In the words of Iran envoy Steve Witkoff, President Donald Trump is “curious” as to why the Islamic Republic has not “capitulated” to his threats. As is often the case, this president says out loud what most others have only whispered for decades: Why is Iran an irrational actor? The answer is neither simple nor certain, but it rests at the heart of why Western policy has consistently failed to curb the Iranian threat.

Since the Islamic Revolution in Iran in 1979, American and European leaders have layered their own hopes and biases on the regime. In a 1978 cable just before the return of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, U.S. Ambassador to Iran William Sullivan described Khomeini, who would go on to preside over Iran’s rise as one of the Middle East’s most tyrannical and destabilizing forces, as a “Gandhi-like” figure. U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Andrew Young memorably predicted that “Khomeini will be somewhat of a saint when we get over the panic.”

DP

About the Author

Danielle Pletka

Danielle Pletka is a distinguished senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and the host, with Marc Thiessen, of the podcast What the Hell Is Going On? and the related Substack.

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