Florida’s vote on a pro-abortion-rights constitutional amendment this November will be crucial for the pro-life movement. Reeling from a string of losses at the ballot box since the Dobbs decision, the movement badly needs a win to prevent some Republican politicians from jumping ship. Pro-lifers can win Florida’s contest, but they will have to make arguments many won’t like.
The Dobbs decision to overrule Roe v. Wade rightly returned abortion laws to the people and their elected representatives. The problem for pro-lifers is that people largely support a right to abortion during the early stages of pregnancy. Polls regularly show overwhelming support for keeping abortion legal in all or most cases. One recent poll even showed a slim plurality opposed to a national 16-week abortion ban. Pro-lifers therefore lose elections that are understood to be referenda on the basic question of abortion access.
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