2024 Republican Presidential Race Is Already Different from 2016

When evaluating Donald Trump’s chances to capture the Republican nomination in 2024, it’s natural for observers to look back at 2016. Many of us got that primary wrong by underestimating Trump, so there’s an understandable desire to learn from mistakes. But there is also a danger of overcorrecting.

I’ve enjoyed the back and forth between Michael and Rich on the Corner this week about the likelihood of Trump’s winning. Among other things, they debate the group dynamics that played to Trump’s advantage in 2016. MBD laments that “a Republican Party that is split into a field of 20 contenders who are united against Trump, and who are laundering their attacks on other conservative positions through their attacks on Trump, will strengthen Trump.”

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Philip Klein

Philip Klein is the editor of National Review Online.

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When evaluating Donald Trump’s chances to capture the Republican nomination in 2024, it’s natural for observers to look back at 2016. Many of us got that primary wrong by underestimating Trump, so there’s an understandable desire to learn from mistakes. But there is also a danger of overcorrecting.

I’ve enjoyed the back and forth between Michael and Rich on the Corner this week about the likelihood of Trump’s winning. Among other things, they debate the group dynamics that played to Trump’s advantage in 2016. MBD laments that “a Republican Party that is split into a field of 20 contenders who are united against Trump, and who are laundering their attacks on other conservative positions through their attacks on Trump, will strengthen Trump.”