Is Venezuela Going to War?

Is there anything stopping Nicolás Maduro from seizing a disputed neighboring province by military force?

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Members of Venezuela’s Armed Forces participate in a military parade in celebration of the 211th anniversary of the country’s independence from Spain in Caracas, Venezuela, July 5, 2022.

Leonardo Fernandez Viloria/Reuters

On December 3, Venezuela’s authoritarian regime held a referendum regarding its claim over a territory known as El Essequibo.

El Essequibo is an oil- and mineral-rich region slightly larger than the State of Georgia but with a population of just 128,000 people. This territory has been controlled by the country of Guyana since the Paris Arbitral Award of 1899, which is an arrangement that Venezuela has never accepted, pointing out irregularities in the decision-making process. Despite Venezuela’s complaints, tensions never escalated between the two countries, especially since a 1966 agreement between the United Kingdom (Guyana was then a British colony) and Venezuela to commit to a peaceful resolution to the territorial dispute.

Jorge Jraissati

About the Author

Jorge Jraissati

Jorge Jraissati is the president of the Economic Inclusion Group, an expert on the intersection of foreign policy with economics and finance, and an influential voice in his home country, Venezuela.

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