Michigan Senate Race Is Everything for the GOP

It’s difficult to overstate the stakes of the race for U.S. Senate in Michigan. The outcome of that contest will have not only political but societal ramifications.

It looks increasingly like this election’s results will either foreclose on the chances of a Democrat-led U.S. Senate next year or hand the Democrats the keys to the upper chamber. Republican candidates are by no means assured victories in Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, Maine, and Texas, and Democrats are all but guaranteed a pickup in North Carolina. Republicans are unlikely to unseat Georgia’s Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff, so Michigan is the GOP’s only possible Senate gain in this cycle.

About the Author

Noah Rothman

Noah Rothman is a senior writer at National Review. His third book, Blood and Progress: A Century of Left-Wing Violence, was published by Hachette in May 2026.

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Democratic Socialists of America

Abdul El-Sayed

It’s difficult to overstate the stakes of the race for U.S. Senate in Michigan. The outcome of that contest will have not only political but societal ramifications.

It looks increasingly like this election’s results will either foreclose on the chances of a Democrat-led U.S. Senate next year or hand the Democrats the keys to the upper chamber. Republican candidates are by no means assured victories in Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, Maine, and Texas, and Democrats are all but guaranteed a pickup in North Carolina. Republicans are unlikely to unseat Georgia’s Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff, so Michigan is the GOP’s only possible Senate gain in this cycle.

About the Author

Noah Rothman

Noah Rothman is a senior writer at National Review. His third book, Blood and Progress: A Century of Left-Wing Violence, was published by Hachette in May 2026.