Nikki Haley Holdouts Aren’t a Problem for Trump

There are lots of reasons to wonder whether Trump can beat Joe Biden. His performance in the most recent primaries isn’t one of them.

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Left: Former president Donald Trump participates in a Fox News Channel town hall in Des Moines, Iowa, January 10, 2024. Right: Nikki Haley speaks in Columbia, S.C., October 30, 2023.

Scott Morgan, Sam Wolfe/Reuters

The fact that Nikki Haley continues to get votes in Republican primaries has confounded many reporters and pundits. “She has dropped out and yet keeps getting votes,” the refrain goes. “This must be a sign that Donald Trump has problems unifying the GOP vote.”

This makes sense to those not steeped in election analysis. But the truth is that this is not unusual. In fact, the data show that, save one, Trump is the strongest nonincumbent putative GOP nominee of the past 40 years.

Henry Olsen

About the Author

Henry Olsen

Henry Olsen is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center and the author of The Working-Class Republican: Ronald Reagan and the Return of Blue-Collar Conservatism.

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