Republicans See Odds Improve in the Race for House Control

They already had the edge; post-debate questions about Biden’s fitness for office could further help the GOP down-ballot.

Share this story

The United States Capitol building in Washington, D.C.

Douglas Rissing/Getty Images

November’s election looks to be a nail-biter at all levels, but not all close races are created equal. The race for House control could still go either way — but it tilted clearly toward the Republicans before Biden’s debate debacle.

That’s the consensus view of the top election analysts, at least. Three I look at the most — Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales, and University of Virginia professor Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball — each have more seats listed as leaning to safe for the GOP than for the Democrats. Their range isn’t that different either, going from 210 Republican seats (Cook) to 216 (Inside Elections). Each publication gives the GOP between a five- and seven-seat advantage over the Democrats.

Henry Olsen

About the Author

Henry Olsen

Henry Olsen is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center and the author of The Working-Class Republican: Ronald Reagan and the Return of Blue-Collar Conservatism.

Comments

Advertisement

Advertisement