If the broad center-right goes to the polls — MAGA supporters, traditional Republicans, conservative-leaning independents, and thinking Democrats — the GOP has a fighting chance to disprove the experts, win skintight races, and even keep Congress. This is a challenge, but within reach.
According to a September 28–October 12 NBC News Decision Desk survey of 17,649 registered voters, Democrats lead on the generic ballot by twelve points among those who say they definitely will vote. Republicans enjoy a 16-point edge with respondents who probably will vote and are 22 points ahead with those who just say “No” to voting this time.






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