Russia Preparing for War with NATO within a Decade, Doubling Troops Near Estonia: Intelligence Report

The Kremlin is overhauling Russia’s military in anticipation of a “prolonged confrontation” and possible war with NATO within a decade, according to a newly released Estonian intelligence assessment. The overhaul allegedly involves a buildup of Russian forces on Estonia’s border, likely doubling the presence from the 19,000 troops that were there before the 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

The Russian military reorganization also likely encompasses the formation of new armies to fight in Ukraine and a Russian buildup near Finland, in response to the country’s recent accession to NATO, according to the Estonian assessment.