The Biden Campaign’s Unconvincing Theory of the Race

Biden and his team are beholden to a theory of the race that puts Donald Trump in the driver’s seat. Democrats are right to worry.

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President Joe Biden speaks during a campaign event at the Martin Luther King Recreation Center in Philadelphia, Pa., April 18, 2024.

Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters

Joe Biden is delusional. At least, that’s the upshot of Axios’s latest piece on the president’s outlook toward his reelection prospects.

Joe Biden “doesn’t believe his bad poll numbers,” according to reporters Hans Nichols and Alex Thompson. Neither do “his closest advisors,” most of whom agree that the “public polling simply doesn’t reflect the president’s support.” That suffices to explain the president’s “largely steady-as-she-goes campaign.”

Noah Rothman

About the Author

Noah Rothman

Noah Rothman is a senior writer at National Review. His third book, Blood and Progress: A Century of Left-Wing Violence, was published by Hachette in May 2026.

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