All the talk about the degree to which Donald Trump’s presidency was suffering from early onset lame duck syndrome led researchers at the Manhattan Institute to examine the proposition. In a survey designed to test the tensile strength of Trump’s “multi-ethnic, working-class” coalition, the think tank polled almost 3,000 voters — oversampling minorities to avoid the errors that can occur when drawing big conclusions from small populations.
There is a lot that can be written about this survey, but it’s worthwhile first to dwell on a distinction its authors regularly make: the difference between the Republican Party’s stalwarts and its “new entrants.”
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