This Time, It’s the Populists Who Are Underestimating Trump

The idea that another candidate can win in 2028 with a purer version of Buchananism ignores the president’s actual appeal.

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Then-Republican vice-presidential nominee Senator JD Vance (R., Ohio) and then-Republican presidential nominee and former president Donald Trump at a rally in Grand Rapids, Mich., July 20, 2024

Tom Brenner / Reuters

Those who were skeptical of Donald Trump’s ability to win the presidency in 2016 have long been tagged as out-of-touch elitists for underestimating his political prowess. But now, it’s the self-styled populists who are underestimating Trump.

One thing that’s emerged from the brouhaha over Tucker Carlson’s decision to do a cozy interview with Hitler and Stalin admirer Nick Fuentes, and Heritage’s Kevin Roberts’s defense of it, is that allies of Carlson see this as a proxy fight for 2028. To them, the next election is an opportunity to scrub the vestiges of Reaganism from MAGA and use Vice President JD Vance as a vehicle to revive a Buchananite framework and ride it to victory. Vance, to be clear, has not signed onto this project, and he has plenty of time to spell out his own ideology, though many of his critics and boosters are already debating as if he is sympathetic to this idea.

Philip Klein

About the Author

Philip Klein

Philip Klein is the editor of National Review Online.

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