Long-simmering rumors of a Donald Trump 2024 campaign have recently begun to boil. Many in Trump’s orbit seem eager for a run, as do many Democratic strategists. Ever unpredictable, Trump himself has sent signals that he could very well declare a bid for the presidency even before the 2022 midterms. However, changes in the political environment since 2016 may help cement Trump’s legacy as a disrupter while also posing some obstacles to Trump as a 2024 candidate.
On a policy level, Trump shattered an already-cracked consensus. Running in 2012 as a hawk on illegal immigration and trade with the People’s Republic of China, Mitt Romney saw where Republican politics were trending, and Trump accelerated that tendency. He pivoted away from austerity talking points on federal entitlements and shredded many of the key premises of the neoliberal policy paradigm.
Comments